Ojai, California

Program38^th Annual Meeting of the Western Regional Science Association

Ojai Valley Inn and Spa, Ojai, California ~ February 21-24, 1999Most recent changes / updates made: February 10, 1999(This version sent to the printers as our “Final Program”)

Click here to go to the 1999 Program Participant Locator…

Sunday, February 21 9:00 AM – 1:30 PM, WRSA Turnbull Cup Golf TournamentOrganizer: Robert FORMAINI, Dallas Federal Reserve Bank, USA 1:00 – 3:30 PM, WRSA Tennis TournamentOrganizer: Andrei ROGERS, Univ. Colorado, Boulder, USA 2:00 – 6:00 PM, Registration(Topa Foyer) 4:00 – 5:15 PM, Opening Plenary Session(Topa Center) 5:15 – 6:45 PM, Welcoming Reception for All Conference Participants(Shangri La Pavilion)

Sunday, 4:00 – 5:15 PMOpening Plenary Session(Topa Center)Chair: Anthony H. PASCAL, RAND Corp., Santa Monica, CAPresentations“Southern California’s Riviera: A Landscape of Affluence”David HORNBECK, Jr., California State Univ., Northridge, USA“Ojai: A Surviving Slice of Old Southern California”John BROESAMLE, California State Univ., Northridge, USAReception Follows Immediately

Monday, February 22, Morning 8:00 AM, Coffee Available (Topa Center) 8:00 AM and throughout the day, Registration (Topa Foyer) 8:15 or 9:00 AM – 12:30 PMSix Concurrent Paper Sessions: 1A, 1B, 1C, 1D, 1E, 1F(10:30 – 11:00 AM, Coffee Break)

Monday, 9:00 AM – 12:30 PMPaper Session 1ARegional Industrial AnalysisChair: Keith R. PHILLIPS, Dallas Federal Reserve Bank, USA9:00 – 9:45
Market Rules and Spatial Outcomes: Insights from the Corporate Restructuring of U.S. Food Retailing
Neil WRIGLEY, Univ. Southampton, England
Discussant: Sanjoy CHAKRAVORTY, Temple Univ., USA
9:45 – 10:30
This Little Piggy Went to Market: Will the New Pork Industry Call the Heartland Home?
Mark DRABENSTOTT, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City, USA
Discussant: Thomas R. HARRIS, Univ. Nevada, Reno, USA

10:30 – 11:00, Coffee Break

11:00 – 11:45
Information Linkages in Local Economic Development: Private and Social Returns in the Colorado Micromalting Project
Eric SCORSONE and Stephan WEILER, Colorado State Univ., USA
Discussant: Johannes TRAXLER, Univ. North Carolina, Chapel Hill, USA
11:45 – 12:30
Where Are the New U.S. Information-Technology Jobs?
R. D. NORTON, Bryant College, Smithfield, RI, USA
Discussant: Brian P. HOLLY, Portland State Univ., USA

Monday, 9:00 AM – 12:30 PMPaper Session 1BWestern States Economic Outlook(Cosponsored by AUBER)Chair: Timothy HOGAN, Arizona State Univ., USADescription: Overviews and updates on economic/demographic trends and forecasts for western U.S. states. Discussion of factors underlying growth and comparison of sectoral trends. All conference participants welcome!PresentersArizona
                    Lee MCPHETERS, Arizona State Univ., USA
California
                    Esmael ADIBI, Chapman Univ., Orange, CA, USA
Colorado
                    Richard WOBBEKIND, Univ. Colorado, Boulder, USA
Northern Mountain States
                    Paul POLZIN, Univ. Montana, USA

10:30 – 11:00, Coffee Break

Nevada
                    R. Keith SCHWER, Univ. Nevada, Las Vegas, USA
New Mexico
                    Brian MCDONALD, Univ. New Mexico, USA
Utah
                    Thayne ROBSON, Univ. Utah, USA
Washington
                    Pete PARCELLS, Whitman College, Walla Walla, WA, USA

Monday, 9:00 AM – 12:30 PMPaper Session 1CPolicy and PerspectivesChair: Robert FORMAINI, Dallas Federal Reserve Bank, USA9:00 – 9:45
Environmental Policy and Location Behavior of Firms: A Synopsis of the Micro and Regional Economic Literature
Tim JEPPESEN, Odense Univ., Denmark, and Henk FOLMER, Tilburg Univ. and Wageningen Agricultural Univ., The Netherlands
Discussant: A. MOLLARD, Univ. Pierre Mendès France, Grenoble, France
9:45 – 10:30
Science Policy for a Small Nation: Survey and Analysis of New Zealand
Jack W. SOMMER, Univ. North Carolina, Charlotte, USA
Discussant: Robert J. STIMSON, Univ. Queensland, Australia

10:30 – 11:00, Coffee Break

11:00 – 11:45
An Analysis of Efficiency among Fields of Science in Major Research Universities of the United States
Roger R. STOUGH, Mustafa DINC, Serdar YILMAZ, and Jean H. P. PAELINCK, George Mason Univ., USA
Discussant: Jon R. MILLER, Univ. Idaho, USA
11:45 – 12:30
Web-Based Learning Materials in Regional Science
Scott LOVERIDGE, West Virginia Univ., USA
Discussant: Jack W. SOMMER, Univ. North Carolina, Charlotte, USA

Monday, 9:00 AM – 12:30 PMPaper Session 1DTransportation I: Urban Policy and Planning AnalysisChair: Y. H. FAN, Taiwan National Univ.9:00 – 9:45
Private Toll Roads: An Economic Analysis
Simon HAKIM and Erwin A. BLACKSTONE, Temple Univ., USA
Discussant: Koji SATO, Kanagawa Univ., Japan
9:45 – 10:30
The Trouble with Minimum Parking Requirements
Donald C. SHOUP, Univ. California, Los Angeles, USA
Discussant: Spenser W. HAVLICK, Univ. Colorado, Boulder, USA

10:30 – 11:00, Coffee Break

11:00 – 11:45
Analysis of Episodic Emission Controls for the Transportation Sector in the Chicago Region
Tschango John KIM, Univ. Illinois, Urbana-Champaign, USA, and Gary DORRIS, Hagler Bailly Services, Inc., Boulder, CO, USA Discussant: Robert B. NOLAND, Environmental Protection Agency, Washington, DC, USA
11:45 – 12:30
Public Transport Access Efficiency and Coverage
Alan T. MURRAY, Univ. Queensland, Australia
Discussant: David LEVINSON, Univ. California, Berkeley, USA

Monday, 9:00 AM – 12:30 PMSession 1EMigration and Economic CrisisChair: Dawn THILMANY, Colorado State Univ., USA9:00 – 10:30
Out-migration, Depopulation, and Regional Economic Distress I: Theory and Measurement
Stuart H. SWEENEY, Univ. California, Santa Barbara, USA, and Edward J. FESER, Univ. North Carolina, Chapel Hill, USA
Out-migration, Depopulation, and Regional Economic Distress II: Spatial and Temporal Sensitivity Analysis
Stuart H. SWEENEY, Univ. California, Santa Barbara, USA, and Edward J. FESER, Univ. North Carolina, Chapel Hill, USA
Discussant: Suzanne Davies WITHERS, Univ. Washington, USA

10:30 – 11:00, Coffee Break

11:00 – 11:45
Mobile Unemployment during Labor Market Crisis: The Case of Sweden
Mats JOHANSSON, Swedish Inst. for Regional Research, Östersund, Sweden and Lars O. PERSSON, Nordic Centre for Spatial Development, Stockholm, Sweden
Discussant: Don MAR, San Francisco State Univ., USA
11:45 – 12:30
Finnish Economic Depression: Unemployment, Regional Migration and Job Search
Olli KULTALAHTI, Tampere Univ., Finland, and Jack W. OSMAN, San Francisco State Univ., USA
Discussant: Rachel MARTIN, Univ. Arizona, USA

Monday, 9:00 AM – 12:30 PMPaper Session 1FUnderlying Factors in Regional Development around the WorldChair: Claude LACOUR, Univ. Montesquieu, Bordeaux IV, France9:00 – 9:45
An Update on Singapore’s Current Economic and Other Conditions and the Retailing Sector
Brenda J. MOSCOVE and Robert G. FLETCHER, California State Univ., Bakersfield, USA
Discussant: Juanita C. LIU, Univ. Hawaii, Manoa, USA
9:45 – 10:30
Governing Inter-provincial Conflicts: Planning for the Extended Kwangyang Bay Region in Southern Korea
Soo-Young PARK, Woo-Bae LEE, and Dong-Ho SHIN, Hannam Univ., Taejon, Korea
Discussant: Jean-Marie HURIOT, Univ. Burgundy, France

10:30 – 11:00, Coffee Break

11:00 – 11:45
The Role of Universities in Regional Development: Endogenous Human Capital and Growth in a Two-Region Model
Charlie KARLSSON, Jönköping Univ., Sweden, and Wei-Bin ZHANG, Inst. for Futures Studies, Stockholm, Sweden
Discussant: John M. QUIGLEY, Univ. California, Berkely, USA
11:45 – 12:30
On the Determinant of Regional Income Distribution
Ermelinda LOPES, Univ. Minho, Braga, Portugal
Discussant: David E. CLARK, Marquette Univ., USA

Monday, February 22, Afternoon 12:30 – 2:00 PM, Lunch (on your own) 1:30 PM and throughout the afternoon, Registration (Topa Foyer) 2:00 – 5:30 PMFive Concurrent Paper Sessions: 2A, 2B, 2C, 2D, 2E(3:30 – 4:00 PM, Coffee Break) 2:00 – 3:30 PM, Panel Session 2F: Critiques of Regional Planning 4:00 – 5:30 PM, Panel Session 2G: Issues Surrounding Agricultural Preservation and Urban Development 4:00 – 5:30 PM, WRSA Board Meeting (By Invitation Only) 5:45 – 7:15 PM, President’s Reception (For All Participants)

Monday, 2:00 – 5:30 PMPaper Session 2ATransportation II: Mobility and CommutingChair: Bijan VASIGH, Embry-Riddle Univ., USA2:00 – 2:45
Employing Welfare Recipients: Spatial and Transport Implications
Katherine M. O’REGAN, Yale Univ., USA, and John M. QUIGLEY, Univ. California, Berkeley, USA
Discussant: C. Daniel VENCILL, San Francisco State Univ., USA
2:45 – 3:30
Sustainable Mobility in Europe: Problems in Defining and Implementing an Operational Measure
Roger VICKERMAN, Univ. Kent, England
Discussant: Odile HEDDEBAUT, INRETS TRACES, Villeneuve d’Ascq, France

3:30 – 4:00, Coffee Break

4:00 – 4:45
Policies Promoting Telework
Koji SATO, Kanagawa Univ., Japan
Discussant: Donald C. SHOUP, Univ. California, Los Angeles, USA
4:45 – 5:30
A Fatal Oversight in Regional Planning: The Child as Pedestrian
Spenser W. HAVLICK, Univ. Colorado, Boulder, USA
Discussant: Dawn THILMANY, Colorado State Univ., USA

Monday, 2:00 – 5:30 PMPaper Session 2BPopulation Change and SocioeconomicsChair: Olli KULTALAHTI, Tampere Univ., Finland2:00 – 2:45
Are Suburban Firms More Likely to Discriminate against African-Americans?
        Steven RAPHAEL, Univ. California, San Diego, USA, Michael A. STOLL, Univ. California, Los Angeles, USA, and Harry J.
        HOLZER, Michigan State Univ., USA
Discussant: Brigitte S. WALDORF, Univ. Arizona, USA
2:45 – 3:30
Social and Economic Change in Queensland Local Government Areas over the Decade 1986–1996
        Robert J. STIMSON and Rex DAVIS, Univ. Queensland, Australia
Discussant: Mats JOHANSSON, Swedish Inst. for Regional Research, Östersund, Sweden

3:30 – 4:00, Coffee Break

4:00 – 4:45
In-migrants to North Dakota: A Socioeconomic Profile
F. Larry LEISTRITZ and Randall S. SELL, North Dakota State Univ., USA
Discussant: Edward J. FESER, Univ. North Carolina, USA
4:45 – 5:30
Census from Heaven: An Estimate of the Global Human Population Using Nighttime Satellite Imagery and Regional Parameters
Paul SUTTON, Univ. California, Santa Barbara, USA
Discussant: Seong Woo LEE, Seoul National Univ., Korea

Monday, 2:00 – 5:30 PMPaper Session 2CEconomic Structure and ChangeChair: Brian P. HOLLY, Portland State Univ., USA2:00 – 2:45
Regional Requirements for Endogenous Development
Leila KÉBIR and Denis MAILLAT, Univ. Neuchâtel, Switzerland, and Antoine S. BAILLY, Univ. Genève, Switzerland
Discussant: Scott LOVERIDGE, West Virginia Univ., USA
2:45 – 3:30
Credit Access in Rural Markets: The Role of Financial Innovation and Structural Transition in Rural Utah Economies
Christopher FAWSON, Utah State Univ., USA, and José BLANCO, Saint Mary’s College of California, USA
Discussant: Thomas H. KLIER, Chicago Federal Reserve Bank, USA

3:30 – 4:00, Coffee Break

4:00 – 4:45
How Does Structural Reform Affect Regional Development?
Sanjoy CHAKRAVORTY, Temple Univ., USA
Discussant: Eric SCORSONE, Colorado State Univ., USA
4:45 – 5:30
From Global to Local: Regional Responses to a Changing World Economy
Nicole MELLOW, Univ. Texas, Austin, USA
Discussant: Richard WOBBEKIND, Univ. Colorado, Boulder, USA

Monday, 2:00 – 4:45 PMPaper Session 2DUrban Planning and Urban Spatial StructureChair: Dong-Ho SHIN, Hannam Univ., Taejon, Korea2:00 – 2:45
The Effects of the Greenbelt on Urban Spatial Structure: The Case of the Seoul Metropolitan Area
Myung-Jin JUN, Chung-Ang Univ., Korea
Discussant: Koichi MERA, Univ. Southern California, USA
2:45 – 3:30
Diversity, Specialization, and Urban Stability: Some Results from a Regional Perspective (Aquitaine)
Claude LACOUR, Univ. Montesquieu, Bordeaux IV, France
Discussant: Henk VAN HOUTUM, Univ. Nijmegen, The Netherlands

3:30 – 4:00, Coffee Break

4:00 – 4:45
How Information Shapes Cities: Theory and Facts
Rachel GUILLAN and Jean-Marie HURIOT, Univ. Burgundy, France
Discussant: Johannes TRAXLER, Univ. North Carolina, Chapel Hill, USA

Monday, 2:00 – 5:30 PMPaper Session 2EPublic PolicyChair: Anthony H. PASCAL, RAND Corp., Santa Monica, CA2:00 – 2:45
Regional Attributes of the Inability to Get Health Care: The Case of Nevada
Martin BOYETT, Rennae DANESHVARY, Bruce PENCEK, and R. Keith SCHWER, Univ. Nevada, Las Vegas
Discussant: Lee MCPHETERS, Arizona State Univ., USA
2:45 – 3:30
Privatization of Penitentiaries: Economic Benefit or Public Peril?
R. Pete PARCELLS and Ben LEITCH, Whitman College, Walla Walla, WA, USA
Discussant: Simon HAKIM, Temple Univ., USA

3:30 – 4:00, Coffee Break

4:00 – 4:45
The Housing Market and the 1986 Tax Reform Act
Andrew NARWOLD, Univ. San Diego, USA
Discussant: Charles L. LEVEN, Washington Univ., St. Louis, USA
4:45 – 5:30
Monetary Politics: A Sectional Analysis of Coalitions and Conflicts
Jeffrey W. LADEWIG, Univ. Texas, Austin, USA
Discussant: Susan HINE, Colorado State Univ., USA

Monday, 2:00 – 3:30 PMPanel Session 2FCritiques of Regional PlanningConvenor: Robert FORMAINI, Dallas Federal Reserve Bank, USAPresentersRobert FORMAINI, Dallas Federal Reserve Bank, USASam STALEY, Reason Public Policy Inst., Los Angeles, USACommentatorJack W. SOMMER, Univ. North Carolina, Charlotte, USA

Monday, 4:00 – 5:30 PMPanel Session 2GIssues Surrounding Agricultural Preservation and Urban DevelopmentConvenor: Robert G. FLETCHER, California State Univ., Bakersfield, USAPanelistsFrank MITTELBACH, Univ. California, Los Angeles, USADennis WAMBEM, Consultant, Riverside County, CA, USAAlvin SOKOLOW, Univ. California, Davis, USAAlbert G. MEDVITZ, Farmer, Rio Vista, CA, USADescriptionFarm and open land conversion to urban use remains a controversial issue in California and elsewhere in the United States. This panel discussion will examine arguments surrounding this issue from both sides of the controversy.

Monday, 5:45 – 7:15 PMPresident’s Reception(For all Participants)

Tuesday, February 23, Morning 8:00 AM, Coffee Available 8:00 AM and throughout the day, Registration (Topa Foyer) 8:30 AM – 12:00 PMSix Concurrent Paper Sessions: 3A, 3B, 3C, 3D, 3E, 3F(10:00 – 10:30 AM, Coffee Break)

Tuesday, 8:30 AM – 12:00 PMPaper Session 3ARemote Regions / Northern Development I: Institutional Change and Northern DevelopmentChair: Lee HUSKEY, Univ. Alaska, Anchorage, USA8:30 – 9:15
Institutional Response to Uncertainty: The Regional Effects of Global Change
Matt BERMAN, University of Alaska, Anchorage, USA
Discussant: James ALLAWAY, Western Washington Univ., USA
9:15 – 10:00
Fishing on Firm Ground: The Evidence that the Tsimshian Have a Constitutionally Protected Right to Sell Salmon
Margaret ANDERSON, Univ. Northern British Columbia, Canada
Discussant: Terrence COLE, Univ. Alaska, Fairbanks, USA

10:00 – 10:30, Coffee Break

10:30 – 11:15
Northern State versus Multinational Corporation: The Regulation of Oil and Gas Development in Alaska
Jerry MCBEATH, Univ. Alaska, Fairbanks, USA
Discussant: Lee HUSKEY, Univ. Alaska, Anchorage, USA
11:15 – 12:00
The Impact of Local Government on the Development of the Russian North: Problems and Prospects
Greg PROTASEL, Univ. Alaska, Anchorage, USA
Discussant: Gigi BERARDI, Western Washington Univ., USA

Tuesday, 8:30 AM – 12:00 PMPaper Session 3BEconomic Impact AnalysisChair: Brenda J. MOSCOVE, California State Univ., Bakersfield, USA8:30 – 9:15
The Economic Impact of Silver State Industries on the State of Nevada
George W. BORDEN, Robert R. FLETCHER, and Thomas R. HARRIS, Univ. Nevada, Reno, USA
Discussant: Thayne ROBSON, Univ. Utah, USA
9:15 – 10:00
The Economic Impact of Hawai’i Museums on the Local Economy
Juanita C. LIU, Univ. Hawai’i, Manoa, USA
Discussant: Robert G. FLETCHER, California State Univ., Bakersfield, USA

10:00 – 10:30, Coffee Break

10:30 – 11:15
The Impact of Economic Development Programs Supported by Targeted Local Sales Taxes: Evidence from Texas
Chris KANE, Terry CLOWER, and Bernard WEINSTEIN, Univ. North Texas, USA
Discussant: R. D. NORTON, Bryant College, Smithfield, RI, USA
11:15 – 12:00
Trends in the Economic Impact of the Department of Energy on the State of New Mexico Over the Last Ten Years
Robert R. LANSFORD and Matthew R. FALKENSTEIN, New Mexico State Univ., USA, and Larry D. ADCOCK, U.S. Dept. of Energy, Albuquerque, NM, USA
Discussant: F. Larry LEISTRITZ, North Dakota State Univ., USA

Tuesday, 9:15 AM – 12:00 PMPaper Session 3CRegional Modeling, IChair: Charles L. LEVEN, Washington Univ., St. Louis, USA9:15 – 10:00
Input-Output Modeling for Economic Purposes and Ecological Usages
Harry BOETTCHER and Axel SCHAFFER, Univ. of Karlsruhe, Germany
Discussant: Geoffrey J. D. HEWINGS, Univ. Illinois, Urbana-Champaign, USA

10:00 – 10:30, Coffee Break

10:30 – 11:15
Large Sample Analysis of the Two-Stage Data Envelopment Analysis Decomposition Technique
James NOLAN, Univ. Saskatchewan, Canada, Pamela RITCHIE and John ROWCROFT, Univ. of New Brunswick, Canada
Discussant: Heonsoo PARK, Anyang Univ., Korea
11:15 – 12:00
A Procedure to Estimate the Contemporaneous Quarterly Regional GNP
Bernardí CABRER and Jose Manuel PAVIÁ, Univ. Valencia, Spain
Discussant: Michael L. LAHR, Rutgers Univ., USA

Tuesday, 8:30 AM – 12:00 PMPaper Session 3DLabor Markets, Migration, and Employment ChangeChair: Andrei ROGERS, Univ. Colorado, Boulder, USA8:30 – 9:15
Post-Migratory Employment Prospects: Evidence from Finland
Hannu TERVO, Univ. Jyväskylä, Finland
Discussant: Paul E. POLZIN, Univ. Montana, USA
9:15 – 10:00
Changing Jobs and Changing Houses: Mobility Outcomes of Employment Transitions
William A. V. CLARK, Univ. California, Los Angeles, USA, and Suzanne Davies WITHERS, Univ. Washington, USA
Discussant: B. Martin R. VAN DER VELDE, Univ. Nijmegen, The Netherlands

10:00 – 10:30, Coffee Break

10:30 – 11:15
Job Access and Urban Form: The Case of Unemployment in the Bordeaux and Chicago Metropolitan Areas
Eamon C. BOYLE, Indiana Univ. of Pennsylvania, USA, and Sylvette PUISSANT, Univ. Montesquieu-Bordeaux IV, France
Discussant: Peter DE GIESEL, Univ. Maastricht, The Netherlands
11:15 – 12:00
Are Worker’s Wages Driven by National or Local Factors?
Dwight W. ADAMSON, South Dakota State Univ., USA, David E. CLARK, Marquette Univ., USA, and Mark D. PARTRIDGE, St. Cloud State Univ., USA
Discussant: Henk FOLMER, Tilburg Univ. and Wageningen Agricultural Univ., The Netherlands

Tuesday, 8:30 AM – 12:00 PMPaper Session 3ENational Economies in Transition, IChair: Lawrence SOMMERS, Michigan State Univ., USA8:30 – 9:15
Collapse or a New Dynamism? Russia Facing the 21^st Century
Hans WESTLUND, Swedish Inst. for Regional Research, Östersund, Sweden
Discussant: Daniel BERKOWITZ, Univ. Pittsburgh, USA
9:15 – 10:00
Socio-economic and Political Consequences of Privatisation in Central and Eastern Europe
Jolanta Dziembowska KOWALSKA and Jan S. KOWALSKI, Univ. Karlsruhe, Germany
Discussant: Jack OSMAN, San Francisco State Univ., USA

10:00 – 10:30, Coffee Break

10:30 – 11:15
Targeting Industries for Regional Development in Israel and in Germany: A Comparative Study
Daniel SHEFER and Amnon FRENKEL, Technion, Haifa, Israel, Knut KOSCHATZKY and Günter H. WALTER, Fraunhofer Inst. for Systems and Innovation Research, Karlsruhe, Germany
Discussant: Darla K. ANDERSON, Univ. Illinois, Urbana-Champaign, USA
11:15 – 12:00
Economic Reform and China’s Coal Industry
Mark G. HENDERSON, Univ. California, Berkeley, USA
Discussant: Theodore LANE, Thomas/Lane & Associates, Seattle, WA, USA

Tuesday, 8:30 AM – 12:00 PMPaper Session 3FTransportation III: Methodology and TheoryChair: Roger VICKERMAN, Univ. Kent, England8:30 – 9:15
Application of Space-Time Prisms for the Measurement of Accessibility
Ming S. LEE and Michael G. MCNALLY, Univ. California, Irvine, USA
Discussant: David A. PLANE, Univ. Arizona, USA
9:15 – 10:00
Relationships between Highway Capacity and Induced Vehicle Travel
Robert B. NOLAND, U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, Washington, DC, USA
Discussant: Marlon G. BOARNET, Univ. California, Irvine, USA

10:00 – 10:30, Coffee Break

10:30 – 11:15
A Utility-Theory-Consistent System-of-Demand Equations Approach to Household Travel Choice
Kara M. KOCKELMAN, Univ. Texas, Austin, USA
Discussant: Tschango John KIM, Univ. Illinois, Urbana-Champaign, USA
11:15 – 12:00
Tolling at a Frontier: A Game Theoretic Analysis
David LEVINSON, Univ. California, Berkeley, USA
Discussant: Jean H. P. PAELINCK, Erasmus Univ., The Netherlands

Tuesday, February 23, Afternoon 12:15 – 1:45 PM, WRSA Annual Banquet Luncheon (For All Participants) 1:45 PM and throughout the afternoon, Registration continues (Topa Foyer) 2:00 – 5:30 PMFive Concurrent Paper Sessions: 4A, 4B, 4C, 4D, 4E(3:30 – 4:00 PM, Coffee Break) 2:00 – 5:00 PM, Session 4F: NE-162/WRSA Workshop 8:00 – 9:30 PM, NE-162 Business Meeting

Tuesday, 12:15 – 1:45 PMWRSA Annual Banquet Luncheon(Shangri La Pavilion)Chair: Lay James GIBSON, WRSA President (1998–99)Presentation Ceremonies:The Thirteenth Annual Charles M. Tiebout Prize in Regional SciencePresented by: Jon R. MILLER, Chair, 1998-99 Reading CommitteeThe Fourth Annual Springer-Verlag PrizePresented by: T. John KIM, Coeditor, The Annals of Regional SciencePresidential Address:“WRSA: A Spatial Association”Arthur GETIS, WRSA President (1999–2000)Discussant: T. John KIM, Univ. Illinois, Urbana-Champaign

Tuesday, 2:00 – 5:30 PMPaper Session 4ANational Economies in Transition, IIChair: Sylvette PUISSANT, Univ. Montesquieu-Bordeaux IV, France2:00 – 2:45
European Monetary Union: Implications for the United States
John OLIENYK and Susan HINE, Colorado State Univ., USA
Discussant: Ricardo GAZEL, Kansas City Federal Reserve Bank, USA
2:45 – 3:30
The Historiography of Transition: Two Perspectives on the Bulgarian Village during the Transition
Bob BEGG, Indiana Univ. Pennsylvania, USA, and Mieke MEURS, American Univ., Washington, DC, USA
Discussant: Mark G. HENDERSON, Univ. California, Berkeley, USA

3:30 – 4:00, Coffee Break

4:00 – 4:45
Russia’s Internal Border
Daniel BERKOWITZ and David N. DE JONG, Univ. Pittsburgh, USA
Discussant: Jolanta Dziembowska KOWALSKA, Univ. Karlsruhe, Germany
4:45 – 5:30
Peasant Farm Efficiency in Poland: A Spatial Econometric Analysis
Darla K. ANDERSON, Univ. Illinois, Urbana-Champaign, USA
Discussant: Hans WESTLUND, Swedish Inst. for Regional Research, Östersund, Sweden

Tuesday, 2:00 – 4:45 PMPaper Session 4BTransportation IV: Policy AnalysisChair: James NOLAN, Univ. Saskatchewan, Canada2:00 – 2:45
The Cross-Channel Support Strategy in Kent and the Nord-Pas-de-Calais Region: Between Specific Institutional Contexts and Timing Differences
Odile HEDDEBAUT, INRETS TRACES, Villeneuve d’Ascq, France
Discussant: Kara M. KOCKELMAN, Univ. Texas, Austin, USA
2:45 – 3:30
Road Infrastructure, Economic Productivity, and the Need for Highway Finance Reform
Marlon G. BOARNET, Univ. California, Irvine, USA
Discussant: Alan T. MURRAY, Univ. Queensland, Australia

3:30 – 4:00, Coffee Break

4:00 – 4:45
An Empirical Analysis of Airline Safety: A Case of Regional Airlines
Bijan VASIGH, Embry-Riddle Univ., USA, and Mehdi HARIRIAN, Bloomsburg Univ. of Pennsylvania, USA
Discussant: Ming S. LEE, Univ. California, Irvine, USA

Tuesday, 2:00 – 5:30 PMPaper Session 4CImmigration, Immigrants, and Regional Labor MarketsChair: Brigitte S. WALDORF, Univ. Arizona, USA2:00 – 2:45
The Wage Curve and Local Labour Markets in New Zealand
Philip S. MORRISON and Jacques POOT, Victoria Univ., Wellington, New Zealand
Discussant: Keith R. PHILLIPS, Dallas Federal Reserve Bank, USA
2:45 – 3:30
A Preliminary Analysis of the Regional Foreign-Born and Native-Born Population Geographies in the United States during the 20^th Century
Andrei ROGERS and James RAYMER, Univ. Colorado, Boulder, USA
Discussant: Eamon C. BOYLE, Indiana Univ. Pennsylvania, USA

3:30 – 4:00, Coffee Break

4:00 – 4:45
Quality Based Investigation of Immigrants’ Housing Consumption, 1980–1990
SeongWoo LEE, Seoul National Univ., Korea
Discussant: Steven RAPHAEL, Univ. California, San Diego
4:45 – 5:30
Regional Differences in Self-Employment among Chinese, Japanese, and Filipino Americans
Don MAR, San Francisco State Univ., USA
Discussant: Sandra HOLLAND, Univ. Arizona, USA

Tuesday, 2:00 – 4:45 PMPaper Session 4DRegional Modeling, IIChair: Reginald GOLLEDGE, Univ. California, Santa Barbara, USA2:00 – 2:45
When Quality Meets Territorialism: The Rent Theory Revisted in the Context of New Forms of Territorial Development
A. MOLLARD and B. PECQUEUR, Univ. Pierre Mendès France, Grenoble, France
Discussant: Gordon F. MULLIGAN, Univ. Arizona, USA
2:45 – 3:30
Fuzzy ARTMAP Classification of World System Regions
Sucharita GOPAL and Raymond DEZZANI, Boston Univ., USA
Discussant: Arthur GETIS, San Diego State Univ., USA

3:30 – 4:00, Coffee Break

4:00 – 4:45
Structural Change and Regional Divergence: Simulations with a Multi-Period Two-Region CGE Model
James GIESECKE, Univ. Tasmania, Australia
Discussant: Axel SCHAFFER, Univ. Karlsruhe, Germany

Tuesday, 2:00 – 5:30 PMPaper Session 4ERemote Regions / Northern Development II: Government and the VillagesChair: Michael PRETES, Stanford Univ., USA2:00 – 2:45
Isran and Minqaq: The Economic Potential of ‘Iglu-Industry’ Arts and Crafts in the Yukon-Kuskokwim Delta of Alaska
Molly LEE, Univ. Alaska, Fairbanks, USA
Discussant: Chris SOUTHCOTT, Lakehead Univ., Canada
2:45 – 3:30
Community Function and Disfunction in Six Western Alaska Communities: Observations on Water and Sanitation Operations and Management
Sharman HALEY, Univ. Alaska, Anchorage, USA
Discussant: Carolyn REDL, Keyano College, Ft. McMurray, Canada

3:30 – 4:00, Coffee Break

4:00 – 4:45
Settlement, Sanitation, and Schools: Using Participatory Research Methods in Alaska Villages
Gigi BERARDI, Western Washington Univ., USA
Discussant: Greg PROTASEL, Univ. Alaska, Anchorage, USA
4:45 – 5:30
Frozen Fantasies: Alaskan Movies in the 1920s
Terrence COLE, Univ. Alaska, Anchorage, USA
Discussant: Steve COLT, Univ. Alaska, Anchorage, USA

Tuesday, 2:00 – 5:00 PMSession 4FNE-162 / WRSA Workshop on Theory and Practice of Community Policy AnalysisConvenor: David W. HOLLAND, Washington State Univ., USADescriptionOne in a series of workshops organized by NE-162 to develop community policy tools by a network of regional and community scientists. The workshop will continue the process of defining and redefining decision support tools and outreach programs for communities in urban and rural areas. All conference participants are welcome to participate.

Wednesday, February 24, Morning 8:00 AM, Coffee Available 8:00 AM and throughout the morning, Registration (Topa Foyer) 8:15 – 10:30 AM, Panel Session 5A: New Directions in Regional Science 8:15 or 9:00 AM – 12:30 PMFour Concurrent Paper Sessions: 5B, 5C, 5D, 5E(10:30 – 11:00 AM, Coffee Break)

Wednesday, 8:15 – 10:30 AMPanel Session 5ANew Directions in Regional ScienceConvenors: Antoine BAILLY, Univ. Genève, Switzerland, and Lay J. GIBSON, Univ. Arizona, USAPanelists:Martin CLARKE, GMAP Ltd., Leeds, EnglandGeoffrey J. D. HEWINGS, Univ. Illinois, Urbana-Champaign, USADenis MAILLAT, Univ. Neuchâtel, SwitzerlandDavid A. PLANE, Univ. Arizona, USABernard WEINSTEIN, Univ. North Texas, USA

Wednesday, 8:15 AM – 12:30 PMPaper Session 5BNE-162/WRSA Joint Session: Analysis of Rural Public PolicyChair: Bruce WEBER, Oregon State Univ., USA8:15 – 9:00
Do Commuters Free-Ride? A Theoretical and Empirical Analysis of the Net Fiscal Effects of In-commuters
        Martin SHIELDS, Pennsylvania State Univ., USA
Discussant: Thomas R. HARRIS, Univ. Nevada, Reno, USA
9:00 – 9:45
Local Privatization Trends: Survey Results from Municipalities in Illinois and Wisconsin
        Steven DELLER, Univ. Wisconsin, Madison, USA
Discussant: Stephen C. COOKE, Univ. Idaho, USA
9:45 – 10:30
Interregional Spillovers under ‘The Contract on America’: A Fiscal SAM Analysis
        Maureen KILKENNY, Iowa State Univ., USA
Discussant: Garth TAYLOR, Univ. Idaho, USA

10:30 – 11:00, Coffee Break

11:00 – 11:45
Amenities and Rural Economic Development and Growth
Steven DELLER, Tsung-Hsiu TSAI, and David MARCOUILLER, Univ. Wisconsin, Madison, USA, and Donald ENGLISH, U.S. Forest Service, Southern Research Station, Athens, GA
Discussant: David HUGHES, Louisiana State Univ., USA
11:45 – 12:30
The Benefits of Beach Management Policy on the Georgia Coast
Craig LANDRY, Warren KRIESEL, and Andrew KEELER, Univ. Georgia, USA
Discussant: David BARKLEY, Clemson Univ., USA

Wednesday, 8:15 AM – 12:30 PMPaper Session 5CRegional Modeling, IIIChair: Bernardí CABRER, Univ. Valencia, Spain8:15 – 9:00
The Fuzzy Logic of Accessibility
        Eric J. HEIKKILA, Univ. Southern California, USA
Discussant: Stuart SWEENEY, Univ. California, Santa Barbara, USA
9:00 – 9:45
On the Accuracy of Exponential Smoothing Methods for Updating Untimely Data: A Study of Northwest U.S. Regions
        Jon R. MILLER, Univ. Idaho, USA, and Julia M. DICKSON, Andersen Consulting, Seattle, WA, USA
Discussant: Neil WRIGLEY, Univ. Southampton, England
9:45 – 10:30
Expenditure Based Inter-area Cost-of-Living Indexes
        Alexander VOICU and Michael L. LAHR, Rutgers Univ., USA
Discussant: Mark DRABENSTOTT, Kansas City Federal Reserve Bank, USA

10:30 – 11:00, Coffee Break

11:00 – 11:45
A GIS Based Model to Evaluate Policy Impact and Voter Behavior
Rex DAVIS and Robert J. STIMSON, Univ. Queensland, Australia
Discussant: Serge REY, San Diego State Univ., USA
11:45 – 12:30
Exports at the Subnational Level: How Reliable Are the Data?
Ricardo GAZEL, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City, USA, and Ron CRONOVICH, Univ. Nevada, Las Vegas, USA
Discussant: Luis-Eduardo VILA, Univ. Valencia, Spain

Wednesday, 9:00 AM – 12:30 PMPaper Session 5DRemote Regions / Northern Development III: Travel and Tourism in the NorthChair: Matt BERMAN, Univ. Alaska, Anchorage, USA9:00 – 9:45
Regional Planning for Compatible Development: The Gulf of Alaska North Coast as an Example of Opportunities and Obstacles
James ALLAWAY, Western Washington Univ., USA
Discussant: Jerry MCBEATH, Univ. Alaska, Fairbanks, USA
9:45 – 10:30
Women Going North
Carolyn REDL, Keyano College, Ft. McMurray, Canada
Discussant: Molly LEE, Univ. Alaska, Fairbanks, USA

10:30 – 11:00, Coffee Break

11:00 – 11:45
Mining the Tourists, Touring the Mines in Potosi, Bolivia
Michael PRETES, Stanford Univ., USA
Discussant: Sharman HALEY, Univ. Alaska, Anchorage, USA
11:45 – 12:30
The Alaska Highway and a Proposed Trans-Canada-Alaska Railroad
Claus-M. NASKE, Univ. Alaska, Fairbanks, USA
Discussant: Matt BERMAN, Univ. Alaska, Anchorage, USA

Wednesday, 9:00 AM – 12:30 PMPaper Session 5EEnvironmental AssessmentChair: Joe MCCLURE, McClure Associates, Phoenix, AZ, USA9:00 – 9:45
Political Decisions and Economic Externalities: The Perverse Dynamics of the Paraguay-Paraná Waterway Project
Paul C. HUSZAR, Colorado State Univ., USA, and Sigrid ANDERSEN, Consultoria Ambiental, Curitiba, Brazil
Discussant: Bob BEGG, Indiana Univ. Pennsylvania, USA
9:45 – 10:30
The SynCon Project: Arctic Environmental Contamination Assessment
Kara L. NANCE, Sharon W. GEORGE, and Mahla STROHMAIER, Univ. Alaska, Fairbanks
Discussant: Peter TREUNER, Univ. Stuttgart, Germany

10:30 – 11:00, Coffee Break

11:00 – 11:45
Assessing the Financial and Economic Feasibility of Rural Water System Improvements
Steven PIPER, U.S. Bureau of Reclamation, Denver, CO, USA
Discussant: L. Michael FARRELL, Univ. Québec à Trois-Rivières, Canada
11:45 – 12:30
Conservation Estimation through December 1997 for the Las Vegas Valley Water District
Chris MEENAN, Las Vegas Valley Water District, USA
Discussant: R. Bruce BILLINGS, Univ. Arizona, USA

Wednesday, February 24, Afternoon 12:30 – 2:00 PM, Lunch (on your own) 2:00 – 5:30 PMFive Concurrent Paper Sessions: 6A, 6B, 6C, 6D, 6E(3:30 – 4:00 PM, Coffee Break) 5:30 PM, Close of Conference

Wednesday, 2:00 – 4:45 PMPaper Session 6ASpecial Session on International BordersChair: B. Martin R. VAN DER VELDE, Univ. Nijmegen, The Netherlands2:00 – 2:45
Search Behavior on a Cross-Border Labor Market
B. Martin R. VAN DER VELDE, Univ. Nijmegen, The Netherlands
Discussant: Hannu TERVO, Univ. Jyväskylä, Finland
2:45 – 3:30
Cross-border Labor Markets in the EU: Observed versus Potential Mobility in Germany and The Netherlands
Peter DE GIJSEL, Univ. Maastricht, The Netherlands, and Manfred JANSSEN, Univ. Osnabrueck, Germany
Discussant: John SPINDLER, Univ. Arizona, USA

3:30 – 4:00, Coffee Break

4:00 – 4:45
Do Borders Matter in International Economic Networking?
Henk VAN HOUTUM, Univ. Nijmegen, The Netherlands
Discussant: Kingsley E. HAYNES, George Mason Univ., USA

Wednesday, 2:00 – 4:45 PMPaper Session 6BRemote Regions / Northern Development IV: Views of the NorthChair: Claus-M. NASKE, Univ. Alaska, Fairbanks, USA2:00 – 2:45
Two Views of the New Harpoon: Economic Analysis of Alaska’s Native Regional Corporations
Steve COLT, Univ. Alaska, Anchorage
Discussant: Michael PRETES, Stanford Univ., USA
2:45 – 3:30
Shifting Paradigms on the Last Frontier: Remoteness and the Alaska Village Economy
Lee HUSKEY, Univ. Alaska, Anchorage, USA
Discussant: Margaret ANDERSON, Univ. Northern British Columbia, Canada

3:30 – 4:00, Coffee Break

4:00 – 4:45
Canada’s North and the Definition of Region: Towards a More Productive Categorization of Canada’s Regions
Chris SOUTHCOTT, Lakehead Univ., Thunder Bay, Ontario, Canada
Discussant: Claus-M. NASKE, Univ. Alaska, Fairbanks

Wednesday, 2:00 – 5:30 PMPaper Session 6CRegional Modeling IIIChair: José Manuel PAVIÁ, Univ. Valencia, Spain2:00 – 2:45
Regional Dynamic Forecasting through Error Correction Mechanisms
Luis-Eduardo VILA and Rosa BADILLO, Univ. Valencia, Spain
Discussant: James NOLAN, Univ. Saskatchewan, Canada
2:45 – 3:30
Economic Disturbances and Regional Employment Fluctuations: A Structural VAR Approach
Heonsoo PARK and Kyuyoung CHO, Anyang Univ., Korea
Discussant: Serge REY, San Diego State Univ., USA

3:30 – 4:00, Coffee Break

4:00 – 4:45
New Extensions to Tinbergen-Bos Systems
Jean H. P. PAELINCK, Erasmus Univ., The Netherlands
Discussant: Charlie KARLSSON, Jönköping Univ., Sweden
4:45 – 5:30
The Role of Income in Welfare Evaluations with RUM
Anders KARLSTRÖM, Royal Institute of Technology, Stockholm, Sweden
Discussant: James GIESECKE, Univ. Tasmania, Australia

Wednesday, 2:00 – 4:45 PMPaper Session 6DUrban Environmental Issues and AnalysisChair: Kara L. NANCE, Univ. Alaska, Fairbanks2:00 – 2:45
Integration of Socio-Economic and Ecological Objectives in Critical Land Use Decisions
Peter TREUNER, Univ. Stuttgart, Germany
Discussant: Chris MEENAN, Las Vegas Valley Water District, USA
2:45 – 3:30
Urban Air Quality and Residential Property Values
G. Rod ERFANI, Transylvania Univ., Lexington, KY, USA
Discussant: Timothy HOGAN, Arizona State Univ., USA

3:30 – 4:00, Coffee Break

4:00 – 4:45
Apartment Complex Characteristics as Determinants of Apartment Water Demand in a Desert City
Donald E. AGTHE, Economic Consultant, Tucson, AZ, USA, and R. Bruce BILLINGS, Univ. Arizona, USA
Discussant: Steven PIPER, U.S. Bureau of Reclamation, Denver, CO, USA

Wednesday, 2:00 – 5:30 PMPaper Session 6EState and Local Policy AnalysisChair: Bob MONAHAN, Western Washington Univ., USA2:00 – 2:45
The Impact of Airport Operations on Land Values: A Case Study of Seattle Tacoma International Airport
Ted LANE, Thomas/Lane & Associates, Seattle, WA, USA
Discussant: Joe MCCLURE, McClure Associates, Phoenix, AZ, USA
2:45 – 3:30
Budgeting by Ballot: Regional Variations in Recent California Statewide Referenda
Jack W. OSMAN and C. Daniel VENCILL, San Francisco State Univ., USA
Discussant: Stephen C. COOKE, Univ. Idaho, USA

3:30 – 4:00, Coffee Break

4:00 – 4:45
The Mexican Border Cities: An Alternative Approach for Urban Poverty’s Reduction
César Fuentes FLORES and Mahyar AREFI, El Colegio de la Frontera Norte–Ciudad Juárez, Mexico
Discussant: Lay James GIBSON, Univ. Arizona, USA
4:45 – 5:30
Fraud, Insider Abuse and Illegal Real Estate Flips
L. Michael FARRELL, Univ. du Québec à Trois-Rivières, Canada
Discussant: Andrew NARWOLD, Univ. San Diego, USA

Wednesday, 5:30 PM

Close of Conference

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